"When you can measure what you are speaking about, and express it in numbers, you know something about it; but when you cannot express it in numbers, your knowledge is of a meagre and unsatisfactory kind; it may be the beginning of knowledge, but you have scarcely, in your thoughts, advanced to the stage of science, whatever the matter may be."
Lord Kelvin

Cronyism in Hungary. Empirical analysis of public tenders 2010-2016

 

February 21, 2018

 

Presentation at the conference “János Kornai 90th birthday “, Corvinus University of Budapest, Budapest,
21-22 February 2018

 

Abstract

 

In this paper, we use a public procurement database that contains data from more than 230,000 public tenders from 1997 to 2017. The analysis is based on data from 126,330 public procurement contracts from 2010 to 2016. The focus of the study is public tenders (without framework agreements) awarded to companies associated with cronies and family members of Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán: Lőrincz Mészáros, István Garancsi, István Tiborcz, and Lajos Simicska (hereinafter, the MGTS). During the analysis, we compare the corruption risks, the intensity of competition, and the strength of price competition between tenders won by crony companies and those won by other, ordinary Hungarian firms. We use indicators as a single-bidder dummy to measure corruption risk, and the index of intensity of competition and the relative price drop (RPRD) to measure the intensity of competition. Our results indicate the presence of political favoritism in Hungarian public procurement during the period under examination. The corruption risk is significantly higher, and the intensity of competition is substantially lower, in tenders won by MGTS firms than in those won by ordinary Hungarian companies. The median RPRD values for tenders won by MGTS firms are very close to those for tenders with the highest corruption risk and the lowest competition intensity.

The slides of the presentation: (PDF)

 

Suggested citation:

Tóth, I. J., & Hajdu, M. (2018, February 21). Cronyism in Hungary: Empirical Analysis of Public Tenders 2010-2016 [Conference Presentation]. Conference “János Kornai 90th birthday ” at Corvinus University of Budapest, Budapest, Hungary. https://www.crcb.eu/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/kornai90_2018_ijt_mh_presentation_180221_.pdf