"When you can measure what you are speaking about, and express it in numbers, you know something about it; but when you cannot express it in numbers, your knowledge is of a meagre and unsatisfactory kind; it may be the beginning of knowledge, but you have scarcely, in your thoughts, advanced to the stage of science, whatever the matter may be."
Lord Kelvin

Publications

Consultacy with the Commission of Budgetary Control of European Parliament

 

September  18, 2017

 

The head of CRCB participated as an expert in the consultation with the Commission of Budgetary Control of the European Parliament on Monday, September 18th, in Budapest, and presented the CRCB’s research results on corruption risks, intensity of competition, and the phenomenon of political favouritism in Hungarian public procurement.

The presentation: (PDF)

The handout: (PDF)

Data publication. The list of public tenders won by Orban’s close friends and read more

Analysing Corruption as Black Holes – Intensity of Competiton, CorruptionRisks & Price Distortion

 

July 3, 2017

 

The head of CRCB attended the LEAR Public Procurement Conference – 2017 as a guest speaker. The presentation dealt with the analytical framework used by CRCB to analyse corruption risks, the intensity of competition, and price distortions, and demonstrated some results on these topics for Italian public procurement.

The presentation (PDF)

 

Suggested citation:

 

Tóth, I. J. (2017, July 3). Analysing Corruption as Black Holes: Intensity of Competition, Corruption Risks & read more

Analysing Corruption as Black Holes – A Study on Hungarian Public Procurement

 

June 22, 2017

 

Presentation for a meeting in the building of the EU Commission, Brussels. The presentation deals with three issues. (1) It presents the analytical framework of corruption risks and competititon intensity of public tenders used by CRCB;  (2) it deals with the results of report “Intensity of Competition, Corruption Risks and Price Distortion in the Hungarian Public Procurement – 2009-2016″ made by CRCB for the European Commission; (3) and it demonstrates some read more

Competitive intensity and family business

30 May 2017

In these short papers we analyse the effect of friendship and family ties with the Hungarian Prime Minister (Viktor Orban) on the competitive intensity of public tenders won by companies owned by his close friends and family members. The analysis is based on more than 151,000 Hungarian public procurement tenders in the period of 2009-2016. Using OLS and ordered logit estimations, we estimate the effect of the friendship and family ties on the competitive intensity of tenders. The results point out read more

Refugee Crisis in Hungary – 2015. A Content Analysis of Articles from on-line Version of Eight News Outlets

1 October 2016

The paper explores how the international media dealt with refugee crisis in Hungary between March and September 2015. We selected all articles from The New York Times, The Washington Post, Le Monde, Le Figaro, Mirror, The Telegraph, Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung and Süddeutsche Zeitung  which contained the words “Hungary” or “Hungarian” or “migrant” or “migration”. Our sample contains 1,518 news articles. During the analysis we used the technics of quantitative and qualitative read more

Competitive Intensity, Overpricing, Corruption Risks and Crony Capitalism in Hungary 2009-2015

 

September 16, 2016

 

Presentation of the CRCB’s new research results in the William Gates Building of the Computer Laboratory at the conference  “Frontiers of Data Science for Government: Ideas, Practices, and Projections. Data for Policy -2016” organised by the University of Cambridge.

The presentation covered corruption risk detection, measuring competitive intensity, and a new way to analyse overpricing suggested by the CRCB’s researchers. Based on statistical analyses of 127,000 Hungarian read more

The detection of overpricing at EU funded public procurement in Hungary

7 September 2016

The analysis of first digits of contract prices indicates that the contract prices of all Hungarian public procurement fits into the theoretical distribution for the whole period. But there are crucial differences in price distortion among the contract prices in each year. Price distortion was increasing throughout the whole period; while in 2009 and 2010 contract prices fitted well into the theoretical distribution, after those years the ratio of price distortion got more and read more

Competitive Intensity and Corruption Risks in the Hungarian Public Procurement 2009-2015

20 August 2016
István János Tóth – Miklós Hajdu. 2016. Competitive Intensity and Corruption Risks in the Hungarian Public Procurement 2009-2015. CRCB Short Papers/2016:1

This short paper examines data from Hungarian public procurement in the period 2009-15. The data from 127,776 contracts were used for the analysis. The analysis focuses on information regarding the competitive intensity, price distortion, and corruption risks. We also analyze the performance of EU funded projects from these read more

Hungarian Municipalities Abide by the Law? Analysis of urban municipalities’ websites in Hungary – 2013-2015

18 July 2016

This report analyses information disclosure practices on 368 Hungarian municipalities’ websites from 2015 and it compares the results with the ones from 2013 with the following focus points:  transparency, accountability, and informing citizens. The analysis is based on the laws regulating information disclosure in Hungary. The report measures the degree to which municipalities’ websites abide by the legal requirements. Transparency and openness are among the most important indices that are read more

Transparency and Responsibility. Content analysis of town websites from four European countries – 2015

5 July 2016
In this paper the CRCB analyses – as part of a pilot research project – 92 City Council websites of four European countries (Great-Britain, France, Germany and Hungary) using content analysis. We are trying to explore two questions: to what extent transparency is present (i) and how the principle of responsibility appear on the local government websites (ii)? The data collection took place between September and November 2015.

The transparency of the operation of the local governments and the read more